As we approach the 2024 NFL season, it’s time to take a realistic look at which teams are poised to finish at the bottom of their divisions. After analyzing depth charts, practice reports, and schedules, we’ve projected the team in each division that is most likely to get a top draft pick in 2025 rather than make the playoffs.

In the AFC East, the New England Patriots stand out as the clear cellar dweller. With uncertainty at quarterback and significant coaching changes in the post-Bill Belichick era, the Patriots are projected to finish 4-13, well behind the Dolphins, Jets, and Bills.